← Projections
Saka
Arsenal · MIDpenalties

Saka

Bukayo Saka

Price £9.5mOwned 13.5%Available

What drives this

Open-play xG / 90
0.41
computed base 0.49
xA / 90
0.24
computed base 0.24
Rate is based on
This season 51%Last season 40%Position prior 9%
416 min this season · 2218 min last season
Start rate 78%
Fixture attack ×1.52
Finishing ×0.80 (under xG — 0.70× career goals/xG)
On penalties: modelled separately (~0.09 xG/90 moved out of open play into a stable pen estimate).
2025/26: 2218 min, 7G 10A, 7.57 xG 7.16 xA

Recent form

GWMinxGxAG/A
GW5800.340.550/0
GW4901.380.081/0big chance / pen?
GW3890.230.230/0
GW2900.630.041/0
GW1670.640.081/0

Highlighted = a single game with unusually high xG (often a penalty or one big chance) — worth discounting.

Adjust by eye

applies next projection run
Goal threat (xG)0.490.49 (0%)
Creativity (xA)0.240.24 (0%)

Upcoming projections

68.5 xP over 13 fixtures
GWOpponentMinsAppsGoalsAssistCSDefCPenBonusxP
GW1COVH571.471.070.700.260.010.250.814.98
GW2AVLA571.470.710.470.170.010.250.814.29
GW3CHEH541.400.590.290.100.010.231.554.55
GW4SUNA661.671.860.650.300.030.280.916.16
GW5BHAA671.721.850.810.310.020.290.756.21
GW6LEEH671.721.230.540.200.020.290.755.21
GW7NFOA671.721.230.540.200.020.290.755.21
GW8EVEH671.721.230.540.200.020.290.755.21
GW9LIVA671.720.930.400.120.020.290.754.69
GW10HULH671.721.850.810.310.020.290.756.21
GW11NEWA671.721.850.810.310.020.290.756.21
GW12MCIH671.720.740.320.080.020.290.754.38
GW13BREA671.721.230.540.200.020.290.755.21